Getting a deal!

THAT is why we like Kameron Loe - the guy is a ground ball specialist. When Roenicke put Loe in in the 6th inning with the bases loaded and no out I was perhaps the only person in America who had confidence. It seems to me that if the Brewer bats can come through and the Crew have a lead, the game is now a 6 inning game. . . . at least at home LOL

Record 51-47 +0.35 BACK IN THE BLACK!!

Carlos Zambrano goes against Greinke tonight and the Brewers are a mammoth -163. This is nose bleed territory but -150 to -170 the Brewers are 13-1. It gets REAL scary -170 and above so let's keep these lines below -170.

Zambrano has pitched poorly in 5 of his last 7 outings and deserves his 4.70 ERA. He has sucked vs. the Brewers this year. What the Crew needs to do is get to him early as he struggles out of the gate, calms down and by the 3rd time through the line-up team have figured him out!

Fielder is a Zambrano killer with a .532 OB and a 1.191 OPS. As a whole the Brewers are about a .500 club vs. Zam but Brewers have not beaten Zambrano in 5 years in Miller Park . . . it's meaningless! However Zam is 7-0 with a 2.40 ERA his last eight starts at Miller Park. MEANINGLESS - I hope.

On the other side of the coin is Greinke does NOT deserve his 4.84 ERA. He has pitched well in 5 of his last 6 games and has a 2.88 ERA in July which is more of what he should be doing. Zacks big problem this year is the home run ball but as long as no one is on base it only hurts a little. Come on, the guy has only walked 18 batters!! WOW!!

The current Cubs only have a .337 slugging against him in 83 ABs.

One thing I noticed is when Zack loses he loses BIG. In the 5 games the Brewers have lost when he pitches the opposing team has scored, 8, 12, 12, 9, 4. The Brewers are 10-4 in games he has started.

AccuScore simulation projections have the Brewers winning 67% of the time with a 21% chance Braun hits a HR, 20.2% Hart hits one and 19.2% Prince his one - interesting

In case you are wondering 67% would be -200ish so -163 is a deal.

And did you see the final play of the Pirate game? The ump totally blew the call at home plate - Pirates lose.

Brewers -163