At least we have Counsil to fill in for Weeks, no loss THERE!!!
Today's game looks REAL obvious. Brewers should kick some ass right? I mean come on, Randy Wells.
Here are a few things swaying me off the Brewers today.
1. Wells DID beat the Brewers earlier this year.
2 The Brewers, when huge favorites at home do not do well, at -170 or greater the Crew is 3-3 -2.21 units. When they win the average score is 10.3 to 5. When they lose the average score is 1.6 to 4.3.
3. -185 is a LOT to pay when team has just lost their most important batter. It's not Prince, it's not Braun. The #1 offensive guy on the team was Weeks. The game after he goes down there will be a transition. Luckily it'll be against the Cubs but . . . .
AccuScore projections say Brewers win 71% of the time after 10,000 simulations which is about a -240. But it does not take into account the psychological loss. Plus what lineup? Lucroy probably will be on the bench with non-hitting Kottaras catching. And how is Braun, will he start a day game after a night game or is it a "give the quad a rest day" because this one is in the bag already.
I gotta go with the huge Dog today because I don't want to get to far away from breaking even. CUBS +165
record 52-47 +1.35
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