4 to 2 on a -185 game is not the most comfortable score you can think of. -185 you SHOULD have your way with a team, BUT . . . I'll take a win for the Brewers any day. When betting a dog of +165 you are pretty much rolling the dice.
Tonight the Brewers play a team that not only has a worse road record then the Brewers but they have a home record worse then their road record! Jordon Lyles pitches who has lost 9 straight games when he has started and he has not pitched THAT bad.
BUT - he does play for Houston who are 5-15 in their last 20 games. They can hit for an average average but have absolutely zero power and do not score runs. In the last 20 they have an On Base of .296 and a SLG of .356.. They are basically an entire team made up of Mark Kotseys except they walk even less!
Of course going up against then is Randy Wolf who in the last 8 games has seen his offense score a total of 16 runs. Wolf does very very well against current Arizona players limiting their 153 ABs to a .216 Avg, .268 OB .340 SLG. He is 3-2 as a Brewer vs. the Astros.
The only tiny worry is that Houston did beat the Cards on the road 2 straight but was it more of the Cards ineptitude?
This is the Astros final series of a horrific road trip ( 2-5 so far . . which is better then their average road trip), they were swept by the Cubs, lost two straight to the Cards and won the last two 4-2 and 5-3.
The crew is 4 and 2 against Houston this year.
I'm on the Brewers -180
The Brewers are -180 and now as big favs of -178 or greater they are 3-1.
Houston in the last 20 games have given up the 2nd most homeruns in the League
0 comments:
Post a Comment